Morning Report: No progress on shutdown

Vital Statistics:

 

Last Change
S&P futures 2528.75 -3
Eurostoxx index 341.85 -1.49
Oil (WTI) 49.18 1.22
10 year government bond yield 2.65%
30 year fixed rate mortgage 4.43%

 

Stocks are flattish on no real news. Bonds and MBS are down small.

 

No progress was made over the weekend with respect to re-opening the government. Trump mentioned the possibility of declaring a national emergency in order to obtain funding for the wall without Congressional approval.

 

The drop in rates over the past month has caused an increase in activity in what is typically a dead part of the year. Falling interest rates have lured some buyers back into the market who are looking to take advantage of the decline before they move up again. FTN Financial estimates that if we get another 20 basis point drop in the 30 year fixed rate mortgage, 300 billion conforming loans will become in the money and refinanceable. With the Fed Funds futures predicting the next Fed move will be a rate cut, that is in the realm of possibility.

 

Friday’s jobs report showed an increase of 300k jobs, yet the unemployment rate rose from 3.7% to 3.9%. Does that make sense? It does if you get deep in the weeds on how the BLS calculates these numbers.

 

New York State is legendary for how long a delinquent borrower can live in their house without paying the mortgage. Some have been there for almost a decade.

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Author: Brent Nyitray

Why do you need new bands? Everyone knows rock attained perfection in 1974. It's a scientific fact. - Homer Simpson

2 thoughts on “Morning Report: No progress on shutdown”

  1. Know an attorney in Stamford that is working on cases where the homeowner is going on 11-12 years since last payment. Thinks he can get another 2-3 years before the piper must be paid. Dan

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    1. I have heard that some lawyers will tell a homeowner: “your mortgage payment is $3,000 a month. Pay me $300 a month and I’ll keep you in your home for years by dragging out the foreclosure process”

      Like

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