Morning Report: PennyMac crushes it

Vital Statistics:

 

Last Change
S&P futures 3346 3.6
Oil (WTI) 41.83 -0.52
10 year government bond yield 0.55%
30 year fixed rate mortgage 2.85%

 

Stocks are flattish this morning on no real news. Bonds and MBS are flat.

 

The week after the jobs report is usually data-light and this week is no exception. We will get inflation data and productivity, but neither should be market-moving. We will also have Fed-Speak on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.

 

PennyMac reported strong second quarter earnings, with EPS rising from $0.92 to $4.39 per share. Production was $37.6 billion and the company earned $538 million in pretax income from origination, or about 143 basis points. Servicing was a drag however, losing $62 million.

 

79% of renters had paid their August rent by the 6th, according to the National Multifamily Housing Council. “Over the past few months apartment residents have largely been able to meet their housing obligations. In no small part, this is due to the enhanced unemployment benefits enacted under the CARES Act and significant steps by apartment owners and operators to help their residents. These unemployment benefits that have proven so important to so many households have now lapsed, meaning greater financial distress for millions and the potential worsening of America’s housing affordability crisis,” said David Schwartz, NMHC Chair, and CEO and Chairman of Chicago-based Waterton.

 

Bidding wars continue, according to Redfin. Over half of their offers were competitive. “Bidding wars may slow down if interest rates tick up again, which could happen if we get good news about a coronavirus vaccine or more clarity around the outcome of the upcoming U.S. presidential election,” said Redfin chief economist Daryl Fairweather. “At the same time, we may still be in the early innings of the pandemic migration wave. If coronavirus cases continue to climb, more employers will likely make flexible remote work policies standard procedure, which will drive further migration out of large, expensive cities. As a result, we may see bidding wars gain more traction in suburban areas and small towns.”

 

 

Author: Brent Nyitray

In the physical sciences, knowledge is cumulative. In the financial markets, it is cyclical

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